Valzer di Poggio et Jean-Michel Bazire

Which three horses will make up the podium of the Prix d’Amérique Races ZEturf QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne 2020? In an attempt to identify those with the best theoretical chances of qualifying straight away for the Prix d’Amerique Races Zeturf – Legend Race, we explored the history of this race. From 8 indices, our team has identified common points between the main players of the last 10 editions of this Group II. Here are the results of this investigation.

The age index

Often winning 5 years

They have 32% success (25 starters including 8 in the top 3) in the last 10 QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne. In the 2010-2019 sequence, they are ahead of the 6-year-old (21.4%) and have also recorded 3 successes (Davidson du Pont, Akim du Cap Vert, Uhlan du Val).

The ideal profile: The 5-year-olds having acquired more than 480,000 euros in earnings in competition.

With this gain parameter, the success of 5 years reached 44% over the 2010-2019 sequence. Only 5 years old at the start of the QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne 2018, Davidson du Pont and Delia du Pommereux took the first two places in the race. They had this “ideal profile”, like the duo Akim du Cap VertAnna Mix (winning pair in 2015), or the duo Uhlan du ValUp and Quick (winning pair in 2013).

ZEturf QUALIF # 1 RACES AMERICA AWARD 2020, it corresponds to this profile

FELICIANO

 

The sex index

The good behavior of females

Systematically outnumbered by the males since 2010, the females are nevertheless doing well in this Group II. With 3 victories for these “ladies”, but also 2 winning pairs, thanks to the Roxane Griff – Quoumba de Guez duo in 2012, and to the Olga du Biwetz – Nuit Torride tandem in 2010. In addition, there was at least one hen on the last 6 podiums of the QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne.

The ideal profile: The hens who finished in the top 3 during their last outing.

This was the case for Chica de Joudes, second in the QUALIF # 1 Prix de Bretagne 2019. 19 hens met this criterion during the last ten episodes of this race, 11 of them (57.89%) managed to take one of the first three places. Sometimes beating the odds …

ZEturf QUALIF # 1 2020 AMERICAN RACES PRIZE, they correspond to this profile

FEERIE WOOD

BAHIA QUESNOT

 

The benchmark race index

From one Brittany Grand Prix to the next

The solution to a QUALIF # 1 Prix de Bretagne is often found in the previous edition of this same race. A test which had, it is true, its specialists. Among these and since the turn of the century, we can cite Olga du Biwetz (2 wins, 1 runner-up), Roxane Griff (1 win, 2 runners-up). And now Davidson du Pont (winner of the last two Grand Prix de Bretagne) who will be at the start this Sunday.

The ideal profile: They participate in the QUALIF # 1 Prix de Bretagne and had finished in the top 5 of this race a year earlier

6 of the last 10 winners of the QUALIF # 1 Prix de Bretagne had this characteristic. Since 2010, 22 applicants for the QUALIF # 1 Prix de Bretagne have fulfilled this criterion and 11 of them (50% therefore) have taken one of the first three places in the race. This was notably the case for Akim du Cap Vert and Village Mystic, respectively 1st and 3rd in the race in 2015.

ZEturf QUALIF # 1 2020 AMERICAN RACES PRIZE, they correspond to this profile

DAVIDSON DU PONT

CHICA DE JOUDES

SUPERB LOOKING

TONY GIO

 

The course index

2,700 meters from the Big Track, proven aptitude recommended

Selective, demanding speed and endurance, the course of the QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne (which is also that of the Prix d’Amérique Races Legend Race) is not suitable for all trotters. While they were discovering this one, some foreign champions learned it the hard way. In this Group II, it is above all the trotters who have proven themselves over the 2,700 meters that stand out.

The ideal profile: Trotters who finished in the top 3 during their most recent outing on this course at the Paris-Vincennes harness

Since 2010, among the 30 horses having finished on the podium of the QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne, 19 presented this profile (63.33%). Two years ago, the first three in the race (Davidson du Pont, Délia du Pommereux and Bird Parker) also met this criterion.

ZEturf QUALIF # 1 2020 AMERICAN RACES PRIZE, they correspond to this profile

FEERIE WOOD

CALLE CROWN

DEVIL OF VAUVERT

MONI VIKING

JET ROLLE

TONY GIO

CARAT WILLIAMS

DAVIDSON DU PONT

The tandem index

Trust the most efficient trotter / driver duos

The horse / rider chemistry is often decisive. This observation is valid in all races, trotting as well as galloping. It is notably in the QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne where the past of each tandem at the start of the race is a very good indicator.

The ideal profile: Tandem trotter / driver with more than 50% success in the first 3.

8 of the last 10 winning tandems of this race shared this characteristic. Before winning the QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne 2018, the Davidson du Pont / Jean-Michel Bazire duo thus had 6 victories, 3 accessits in 10 associations.

ZEturf QUALIF # 1 2020 AMERICAN RACES PRIZE, they correspond to this profile

VALZER DI POGGIO

FEERIE WOOD

DEVIL OF VAUVERT

MONI VIKING

JET ROLLE

FELICIANO

CHICA DE JOUDES

 

The regularity index

Consistency rewarded

The Qualif # 1 – Prix de Bretagne often rewards competitors who have shown consistency during their most recent outings on the track. Success is increased when you take into account the bank account of the horses in question.

The ideal profile: Horses having acquired more than 480,000 euros in earnings and having finished in the top 5 during their last 4 outings

8 of the last 10 winners of the QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne presented this profile. This was also the case for the first 3 of the race in 2018 (Davidson du Pont, Délia du Pommereux and Bird Parker).

ZEturf QUALIF # 1 2020 AMERICAN RACES PRIZE, they correspond to this profile

DEVIL OF VAUVERT

FELICIANO

 

The star index

Priority to the sulky aces

The stars of the drive often make the difference in the beautiful events of Paris-Vincennes. This is also valid for the QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne in which pilots can be trusted at the head of the largest collections of gold, silver or bronze sulkies.

The ideal profile: Horses driven by Eric Raffin, Franck Nivard and Jean-Michel Bazire ,.

Together, these multi-titled drivers have won 6 of the last 10 QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne. And in the 2010-2019 sequence, there is also a winning Raffin-Bazire pair in 2012 (with respectively Roxane Griff and Quoumba de Guez) and another signed Nivard-Raffin in 2011 (with in this order Ready Cash and Roxane Griff).

ZEturf QUALIF # 1 2020 AMERICAN RACES PRIZE, they correspond to this profile

TONY GIO

CALLE CROWN

VALZER DI POGGIO

 

The shape index

On their way

It seems logical. The horses which remain on a success are rather efficient in the QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne. Especially when they won shortly before taking part in this qualifying race for the Prix d’Amérique Races ZEturf Legend Race

The ideal profile: They won on their last outing less than 25 days before the race

During the last 10 editions of the QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne, 21 trotters presented this profile. 2 of them (Olga du Biwetz and Valko Jenilat) won the race. 10 of them (47.6%) finished on the podium. 14 (or 66.67%) finally finished in the Top 5 of this Group II.

ZEturf QUALIF # 1 2020 AMERICAN RACES PRIZE, they correspond to this profile

VALZER DI POGGIO

DEVIL OF VAUVERT

 

Verdict

The Prix d’Amerique Races Zeturf QUALIF # 1 – Prix de Bretagne 2020 seems very open and many competitors are mentioned in this study. It should be noted, however, that Diable de Vauvert, Valzer di Poggio, Feliciano and Féerie Wood are among those who collect the most favorable clue