Prix d’Amérique Races ZEturf Qualif #2: lessons from the past

Prix d’Amérique Races ZEturf Qualif #2: lessons from the past

Analysis

11 December 2020

This Sunday, three trotters will qualify for the 3 races at the top of the Prix d’Amerique Races Zeturf: Legend Race, Speed ​​Race and Marathon Race. Contested over the 2,850 meters of the Big Track, the Qualif # 2 – Prix du Bourbonnais will be an opportunity for some Paris-Vincennes cracks to assert their ambitions and / or to reappear in the Prix d’Amérique Races competition. Zeturf. This will be the case with Face Time Bourbon. Should we trust the one who is the richest horse in the race? Yes, if we trust the past of this ordeal. By analyzing it, our team also spotted other similarities between the heroes of the last editions of Qualif # 2 – Prix du Bourbonnais. Inventory.

The earnings index

Face Time Bourbon already in pole position

The 3 horses having acquired the most gains in competition have a very good success in Qualif # 2 – Prix du Bourbonnais. Thus, 5 of the last 10 winners of this race belonged to this caste.

The ideal profile: They are among the 3 richest horses in the race and are bare (partially or totally).

During the last 4 editions of this event, 10 trotters met this double criterion. 7 of them finished on the podium, including Bird Parker and Bold Eagle who made up the winning pair of Qualif # 2 – Prix du Bourbonnais in 2017.

QUALIF # 2 2020, It corresponds to this profile:

FACE TIME BOURBON

 

The America Index

Already seen to their advantage at the highest level

It is possible to win Qualif # 2 – Prix du Bourbonnais ten months after winning the Prix d’Amérique Legend Race. In the past 10 years, Ready Cash (twice) and Bold Eagle have demonstrated this. More generally, horses having performed well in the premier trotting event tend to shine in Qualif # 2 – Prix du Bourbonnais.

The ideal profile: they finished in the top 6 of the last Prix d’Amerique Legend Race.

Since 2016, we find on the podium of Qualif # 2 – Prix du Bourbonnais at least one trotter meeting this criterion.

QUALIF # 2 2020, they correspond to this profile:

FACE TIME BOURBON – DAVIDSON DU PONT – CHICA DE JOUDES – DELIA DU POMMEREUX

 

The freshness index

The perfect race to change gears?

They have not raced in recent months and have been preserved for the Vincennes winter meeting. Approaching the major Parisian deadlines with maximum freshness is often an asset. And this is verified in Qualif # 2 – Prix du Bourbonnais.

Ideal profile: They have run 4 times (maximum) during the 5 months preceding the race.

Each year, we find on the podium at least one horse exhibiting this characteristic which 7 of the last 10 winners of this race also shared, but also the first three of Qualif # 2 – Prix du Bourbonnais 2012 edition (Ready Cash, Royal Dream, Qwerty).

QUALIF # 2 2020, they correspond to this profile:

CHICA DE JOUDES – DELIA DU POMMEREUX – ERMINIG D’OLIVERIE – DAVIDSON DU PONT

 

The barefoot clue

Running without irons gives them wings

When unshod 4 feet, some trotters are able to transcend themselves and compete with opponents much more titled than them. A phenomenon that can be observed in Qualif # 2 – Prix du Bourbonnais.

The ideal profile: They are 4 feet bare and are among the 6 least rich horses in the race.

On the podium of 9 of the last 10 editions of this event, there is at least one horse corresponding to this profile. This was notably the case with Délia du Pommereux last year, but also with a few subjects who defied the forecasts, such as Private Love (winner in 2010).

QUALIF # 2 2020, they correspond to this profile:

HUDSON RIVER – VALZER DI POGGIO – VICTOR FERM – JERRY MOM – FAKIR DU LORAULT

 

The victories and regularity indices

When their music is good…

This is not a revelation: the latest performances achieved by the various competitors obviously provide valuable information. In this register, there are two types of profiles among the heroes of the last ten editions of Qualif # 2 – Prix du Bourbonnais.

Ideal Profile # 1: They’ve won one of their last two harness races.

6 of the last 9 winners of this Group II presented this characteristic.

QUALIF # 2 2020, they correspond to this profile:

VALZER DI POGGIO – VICTOR FERM – FAKIR DU LORAULT – ERMINIG D’OLIVERIE – FACE TIME BOURBON

Ideal Profile # 2: They haven’t finished further than 5th in their last three competitive outings.

Of the 9 horses that made up the podium of this race in 2017, 2018 and 2019, 6 corresponded to this profile.

QUALIF # 2 2020, they correspond to this profile:

VICTOR FERM – FACE TIME BOURBON

 

VERDICT

Unsurprisingly, FACE TIME BOURBON is the trotter that collects the most favorable signs here. VICTOR FERM, DELIA DU POMMEREUX, FAKIR DU LORAULT, VALZER DI POGGIO and even ERMINIG D’OLIVERIE are also mentioned here on several occasions.